中国经济问题 ›› 2024›› Issue (02): 61-.

• • 上一篇    下一篇

中国城镇居民代际流动———基于相对贫困代际传递视角的探究

  

  • 出版日期:2024-03-20 发布日期:2024-05-27

  • Online:2024-03-20 Published:2024-05-27

摘要:

提升代际流动是扎实推进全民共同富裕的必然要求。本文基于中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)2010-2018年数据,同时辅以中国家庭收入调查数据(CHIP)1988年和1995年数据考察了城镇居民的相对贫困代际传递水平,并进一步分析了阻断相对贫困代际传递的机制,从这一视角切入探究了城镇居民的代际流动情况。研究发现,采用类似相对贫困标准测得代际之间的相对贫困水平差距不大。进一步回归分析发现,城镇居民的相对贫困代际传递的概率在20%左右,男性子代比女性子代更容易陷入相对贫困代际传递陷阱,其他不同特征群体之间也存在较大差异。本文通过机制分析发现仅完成高中教育对阻断相对贫困代际传递的作用比较微弱,完成高等教育是阻断相对贫困代际传递的关键,而且较低职业地位的子代依然很难跳出相对贫困代际传递陷阱。另外,个体的社会资本积累在相对贫困代际传递中也能发挥一定作用,尤其是认知型社会资本,而组织型社会资本发挥的作用依然不足。

关键词: 相对贫困, 共同富裕, 代际流动, 阻断机制, 城镇居民

Abstract:

Improving intergenerational mobility is an inevitable requirement for achieving common prosperity. This paper examines the intergenerational transmission level of the relative poverty of urban residents based on CFPS2010-2018 & CHIP 1988-1995 data and further analyzes the mechanism of blocking the intergenerational transmission of relative poverty. This paper finds that there is not much difference in the level of relative poverty between generations measured by similar relative poverty standards. Furthermore, through regression analysis, it is found that the probability of intergenerational transmission of relative poverty among urban residents is about 20%, and male offspring are more likely to fall into the relative poverty intergenerational transmission trap than female offspring, there are also great differences among other characteristic groups. Mechanism analysis suggests that only completing high school has a weak effect on reducing the relative poverty for the next generation while completing the college education is the key to blocking the intergenerational transmission of relative poverty. It is still difficult for the offspring with lower occupational status to jump out of the trap of intergenerational transmission of relative poverty. In addition, social capital (especially cognitive social capital) plays a positive role, while organizational social capital is still insufficient.

Key words:

relative poverty, common prosperity, intergenerational mobility, blocking mechanism; urban residents