中国经济问题 ›› 2025›› Issue (05): 63-.

• • 上一篇    下一篇

中国全球价值链议价能力指数演变趋势

  

  • 出版日期:2025-10-15 发布日期:2025-11-27

  • Online:2025-10-15 Published:2025-11-27

摘要:

本文基于出口价格视角把国际贸易类比为买卖双方配比价格问题采用双边随机前沿分析法构建全球价值链议价能力指数探究中国20022022 年全球价值链分工地位的演变情况研究发现中国总体的全球价值链议价能力指数在波动中增长中国全球价值链分工地位的演变存在明显的二元态势部分劳动密集型、资源密集型行业的全球价值链分工地位不断提高的同时部分则不断下降而部分资本密集型、技术密集型行业的分工地位不断提高的同时部分也在下降全球价值链竞争激烈总体上中国行业全球价值链分工地位提升的可能性高于下降的可能性

关键词:

全球价值链分工地位, 全球价值链议价能力指数, 双边随机前沿分析法, 马尔可夫转移概率矩阵

Abstract:

Based on the perspective of export price, this paper compares international trade to the matching price problem between buyers and sellers, adopts the bilateral stochastic frontier analysis model, constructs the bargaining power index of global value chain, and explores the evolution of Chinese industries global value chain division position from 2002 to 2022. The study found that China's overall global value chain bargaining power index increased in fluctuations. There is an obvious duality in the evolution of China's global value chain division position. While the global value chain division position of some labor-intensive and resource-intensive industries is improving, some of them are declining; while the global value chain division position of some capital–intensive and technology–intensive industries is improving, some of them are also declining. Competition in the global value chain is fierce. On the whole, the possibility of improving Chinese industries global value chain division position is higher than the possibility of decreasing.

Key words:

global value chain division position, global value chain bargaining power index, bilateral stochastic frontier analysis model, Markov transition probability matrix