中国经济问题 ›› 2026›› Issue (04): 73-.

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A 股市场关联公司的股票动量溢出效应研究——基于 BGE 语义向量模型

  

  • 出版日期:2026-07-20 发布日期:2026-09-22

Momentum Spillover Effects among Related Stocks in China’s A-Share Market: Evidence from the BGE Semantic Embedding Model

  • Online:2026-07-20 Published:2026-09-22

摘要: 本文采用 BGE 语义向量模型构建股票动量溢出因子,通过将分析师报告文本转化为高维向量,并利用混合池化计算股票间语义相似度,生成股票关联矩阵,再结合过去一周收益加权得到动量溢出因子。实证结果表明,该因子能够较好揭示关联公司股票间的动量溢出效应,对目标公司未来一周收益具有显著预测力,多空组合可获得显著年化超额收益。进一步分析发现:BGE因子的表现优于共同覆盖因子:基于非明星分析师报告构建的关联关系,其溢出效应更为显著。研究表明,大语言模型在金融文本分析与资产定价中具有较强应用潜力。

Abstract: This paper constructs a stock momentum spillover factor using the BGE semantic embedding model. Analyst reports are transformed into high-dimensional vectors, and stock-level semantic similarity is measured through mixed pooling to build a stock association matrix. The momentum spillover factor is then obtained by weighting these associations with past one-week returns. Empirical results show that the factor effectively captures momentum spillovers among related firms and significantly predicts target firms’ returns in the following week, with the corresponding long-short portfolio generating significant annualized excess returns. Further analysis shows that the BGE-based factor outperforms the co-coverage factor, and that spillover effects are stronger when stock associations are derived from reports issued by non-star analysts. The findings suggest that large language models have strong potential in financial text analysis and asset pricing.

Key words: BGE model, momentum spillover effect, analyst reports, textual data