中国经济问题 ›› 2026›› Issue (02): 60-.

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中国城市和国家重大战略区新质生产力的水平测度、特征表现及时空演变

  

  • 出版日期:2026-03-20 发布日期:2026-06-02

Level Measurement,Characterization, and SpatiotemporalEvolution of New Quality Productive Forces in ChineseCities and Maior National Strategic Zones

  • Online:2026-03-20 Published:2026-06-02

摘要: 文章采用2012-2021年中国 283 个城市层面数据,从新质生产力“高科技”“高效能”和“高质量”特征入手,构建了城市和国家重大战略区新质生产力测度指标体系。在此基础上利用 Dagum 基尼系数对六大重大战略区城市新质生产力水平差异进行分解,并采用空间面板回归模型对σ收敛和B收敛进行了检验。研究发现,首先,全国和六大区域 2012-2021 年城市新质生产力发展水平逐年增长。其次,各区域新质生产力发展间存在不均衡现象,且程度不断加深,地区间差异是导致该现象的主要来源。再次,全国及各区域城市新质生产力发展水平存在多极化特征。最后,全国及各区域新质生产力发展水平呈现σ收敛和B收敛。本文的研究结论对于认识城市新质生产力发展状况,加快各区域新质生产力联动发展具有重要意义。

关键词: 新质生产力, 发展水平测度, 特征表现, 分布动态, 收敛性

Abstract: This study employs panel data from 283 Chinese cities spanning 2012 to 2021 to construct a measurement”“high efsystem for urban and national strategic zones’new quality productive forces, characterized by “high technology,”ficiency," and “high quality.” Based on this framework, the Dagum Gini coelficient is applied to decompose the regionaldisparities in new quality productive forces across six major strategic zones. Furthermore, a spatial panel regression model isused to examine both o-convergence and B-convergence. The results reveal several key findings. First, the level of newquality productive forces in Chinese cities-both nationwide and within the six strategic zones-has shown continuousgrowth during 2012-2021. Second, significant and deepening regional imbalances exist in the development of new qualitproductive forces, with interregional disparities constituting the main source of these differences. Third, the spatial distribution of new quality productive forces exhibits a multipolar patterm at both the national and regional levels. Finally, both oconvergence and B-convergence are observed in the development of new quality productive forces nationwide and across allstrategic regions. These findings provide critical insights into the current state of urban new quality productive forces in China and hold significant implications for promoting, coordinated and synergistic development of such forces across regions.

Key words: new quality productive forces, development level measure, characterization, distribution dynamics, convergence