中国经济问题 ›› 2026›› Issue (03): 43-.

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银企关系、信贷惯性与货币政策的信息效应

  

  • 出版日期:2026-05-20 发布日期:2026-07-27

Bank-Firm Relationships,Credit Inertia, and the Information Effect of Monetary Policy

  • Online:2026-05-20 Published:2026-07-27

摘要: 理清货币政策信息效应的影响对于提升货币政策有效性至关重要。本文通过构建包含信贷惯性和货币政策信息效应的DSGE模型,从理论层面揭示了银企间长期信贷关系对货币政策信息效应的调节作用,并利用中国上市企业的银行授信数据进行了实证检验。结果发现:正向货币政策信息效应会促进企业信贷增长;银企间信贷惯性则会抑制这一效应,发挥负向调节效应;异质性分析表明,这种抑制作用在规模较小、风险承担能力较弱的银行中更为明显,在融资约束较低及私营企业中也更明显。本文结论为进一步提升货币政策的有效性提供了理论依据和实证支持。

关键词: 银企关系, 信息效应:因子模型:DSGE

Abstract: Clarifying the impact of the information effect of monetary policy is crucial to improving the effectiveness of monetary policy. This paper constructs a DSGE model incorporating credit inertia and the information effect of monetary policy, theoretically reveals the moderating role of long-term bank-firm credit relationships on the information effect of monetary policy, and conducts an empirical test using bank credit line data of Chinese listed enterprises. The results show that a positive information effect of monetary policy promotes the growth of corporate credit; bank-firm credit inertia restrains this effect and exerts a negative moderating effect. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that such restraining effect is more pronounced among smaller banks with weaker risk-bearing capacity, as well as among private enterprises and enterprises with lower financing constraints. The conclusions of this paper provide theoretical support and empirical evidence for further enhancing the effectiveness of monetary policy.

Key words: bank-firm relationships, information effect, factor model, DSGE