中国经济问题 ›› 2024›› Issue (03): 182-.

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构建“双循环”新发展格局的供需协同机制研究 ———以广东省为例 

  

  • 出版日期:2024-05-20 发布日期:2024-07-31

  • Online:2024-05-20 Published:2024-07-31

摘要:

在经济全球化调整的国际背景下,从实践层面探讨供需协同机制以实现我国“双循环”新发展格局下的产业转型变得更加迫切。“双循环”新发展格局是马克思资本循环理论的发展和创新,本文以改革开放的先行地广东省为例,从供需视角厘清新发展格局构建中的驱动力及现实困境。广东作为我国改革开放的前沿阵地,一直充当着中国经济社会改革“先行先试”的领头羊和探路人角色,经济发展动力逐步从依赖外资驱动和出口需求向依赖创新驱动和国内需求转变。基于此,本文构建了广东省实现“双循环”新发展格局的供需协同机制框架,探讨了广东省在推动构建“双循环”新发展格局中的优势,指出其面临着“两头在外”发展模式和要素支撑持续弱化的供给侧困境,以及居民平均消费倾向下降和地区发展不均衡的需求侧困境,进而提出了广东省在构建“双循环”新发展格局中的供需协同进路取向。这对我国实现供需结构转型、加快构建“双循环”新发展格局具有一定的理论和现实意义。

关键词:

“双循环”新发展格局, 资本循环理论, 供需协同, 广东经济

Abstract:

Against the backdrop of economic globalization adjustments, the need to investigate the supply–demand synergy mechanism at the practical level for achieving industrial transformation within China’s “dual circulation” development pattern has become increasingly urgent. The new development pattern of “dual circulation” is the development and innovation of Marx’s capital circulation theory. This paper takes Guangdong province as an example to clarify the driving force and realistic dilemma in constructing the new development pattern from the perspective of supply and demand. As a frontier in China’s reform and opening-up, Guangdong has played a leading and exploratory role in China’s economic and social reforms. However, in the face of global supply-demand relationship adjustments, Guangdong’s overreliance on external investment and demand within a single circulation framework has hindered China's supply-demand transformation and breakthroughs under the new global economic changes. Based on this, we construct a supply-demand synergy mechanism framework for Guangdong province to realize the “dual circulation” development pattern, and discuss the advantages of Guangdong province in promoting the construction of the new development pattern. We point out that Guangdong is faced with the supply-side dilemma of “two ends outside” development mode and the continuous weakening of factor support, as well as the demand-side dilemma of declining average consumption tendency of residents and unbalanced regional development. Then we put forward the supply-demand synergy approach of Guangdong province in constructing the “dual circulation” development pattern. This research has theoretical and practical significance for China to realize the transformation of the supply and demand structure and accelerate the construction of the “dual circulation” development pattern.

Key words:

 , “dual circulation” development pattern, capital circulation theory, supply-demand synergy, Guangdong economy