中国经济问题 ›› 2026›› Issue (01): 93-.

• • 上一篇    下一篇

青藏铁路与西部经济发展 ———来自宏观和企业层面的证据

  

  • 出版日期:2026-03-15 发布日期:2026-03-18

  • Online:2026-03-15 Published:2026-03-18

摘要:

本文将青藏铁路建成通车视为自然实验将双重差分模型应用于20012019年青海和西藏的县市面板数据和20042010年规模以上工业企业样本估计了青藏铁路建成通车的影响后发现铁路建成通车在短期、中期和长期内皆显著提高设站县市的人均GDP且对第一、二产业的效果更大短期内显著提高规模以上工业企业的劳均产出水平、营业利润和TFP基于19952009年夜间灯光数据的研究还发现距离车站110km以内区域的夜间灯光亮度相比于距离车站1020km以内的区域增加128%本文利用青藏铁路这一干净的自然实验识别了交通基础设施建设对偏远地区经济发展的因果效应也为中国评估青藏铁路的经济效果提供了实证证据

关键词:

交通基础设施, 青藏铁路, 区域经济发展

Abstract:

Taking the Qinghai-Tibet Railway as a natural experiment, this paper adopts the DID model to investigate the impact of transportation infrastructure on regional economic development. Applying the model to 2001--2019 county–level panel data and 2004-2010 Above–scale Industrial Enterprises in Qinghai and Tibet, we find that the opening of the Qinghai-Tibet Railway has a significant effect on improving regional economic growth. First, it significantly improves the per capita GDP of counties that have railway stations in the short, medium, and long run, respectively. However, it only has such an effect on the growth of the primary and secondary industries. Second, we show that the mechanism behind the positive effect on the growth of the primary industry is that the railway stimulates animal husbandry in these two provinces.Third, we further show that the railway significantly improves the output, profit, and TFP of above-scale industrial enterprises in the short run, which lends support to the positive effect of the railway on the growth of county-level industrial per capita GDP. Additionally, based on satellite light data from 1995 to 2009, the study finds that regions within 1–10 km of railway stations experienced a 128% increase in satellite light intensity compared to regions 10-20 km away. This paper contributes to the literature that identifies the impact of transportation infrastructure on the regional economy and provides empirical evidence to quantify the effects of the Qinghai–Tibet Railway on economic development in Western China.

Key words:

transportation infrastructure, Qinghai–Tibet Railway, development of regional economy

 ,