中国经济问题 ›› 2026›› Issue (04): 149-.

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工业机器人是否扩大收入不平等——基于 Meta 分析与发表偏倚校正的证据

  

  • 出版日期:2026-07-20 发布日期:2026-09-22

Does Industrial Robot Adoption Widen Income Inequality: Evidence from a Meta-Analysis with Publication-Bias Correction

  • Online:2026-07-20 Published:2026-09-22

摘要: 工业机器人的广泛应用深刻影响经济发展与劳动市场结构,厘清其对收入分配的真实影响对推动技术变革与包容性增长具有重要意义。本文基于 32 篇文献的 453 个估计值开展Meta 回归分析,系统检验工业机器人使用对收入不平等的影响,并识别相关研究中的发表偏倚与异质性特征。研究结果表明,工业机器人普遍加剧了收入差距,尤其在城乡、收入阶层和性别维度表现显著,但在行业间收入差距上则表现出一定的缩小效应。此外,研究还揭示了该议题存在的显著发表偏倚,高质量期刊更倾向于发表结论显著的研究。异质性分析表明,不同收入差距类型、测度方法、机器人使用指标及样本量均会显著影响估计结果。本文将经济学领域前沿的 Meta 回归分析范式系统应用于工业机器人与收入不平等研究,揭示研究结论对度量口径与样本特征的敏感性。为后续研究提供方法论参考。

Abstract:

The widespread application of industrial robots has profoundly reshaped economic development and labor market structures, making it essential to clarify their true impact on income distribution to promote technological transformation and inclusive growth. Drawing on 453 estimates from 32 studies, this paper conducts a meta-regression analysis to systematically examine the effects of industrial robot adoption on income inequality and to identify publication bias and heterogeneity in the existing literature. The results show that industrial robots generally widen income disparities, particularly across urban-rural areas, income groups, and genders, while exhibiting a narrowing effect on inter-industry income gaps. Moreover, significant publication bias is detected, with high-quality journals more inclined to publish studies reporting statistically significant findings. Heterogeneity analysis further indicates that the type of income inequality examined, measurement approaches, robot exposure indicators, and sample sizes all exert substantial influence on reported estimates. By applying advanced meta-regression techniques from economics to the study of industrial robots and income inequality, this paper highlights the sensitivity of research conclusions to measurement choices and sample characteristics, offering valuable methodological guidance for future research.

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